Game theory: When people compete with each other they always do what they think is in their own best interest.

Hailed as 'the new Nostradamus', Bruce Bueno de Mesquita a consultant to the CIA and the Department of Defense in the US, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has built an intricate computer model that can predict the outcomes of international conflicts with bewildering accuracy.

His systems based on game theory have an astonishing 90%+ ratio of accuracy and are frequently used to shape US foreign-policy decisions.

Bueno de Mesquita's more than 2000 correct predictions have ranged from the terrorist threat to America to the peace process in Northern Ireland.

Bueno de Mesquita uses mathematical analysis to predict (very often correctly) such messy human events as war, political power shifts, Intifada, some examples are:

• Achieving an Arab-Israeli peace
• Containing the nuclear ambitions of Iran and North Korea
• Anticipating and preventing corporate fraud
• Responding to international terrorism and climate change

Have the rare opportunity to see this controversial figure in person at this meetforeal event. Ask him about the implications of his predictions, share your theories and meet the man considered by many to be the most important foreign-policy analyst there is.

• Listen & learn
• Debate & discover
• Meet & exchange ideas

Audience members will have the opportunity to take part in a ground breaking interactive experiment where cutting edge tracking technology will provoke and inspire idea sharing at the event, in real time!

Further Information:

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is Julius Silver Professor of Politics at New York University and a Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University. A specialist in policy forecasting, political economy and international security policy, he received his doctorate in political science from the University of Michigan. Bueno de Mesquita is the author of fourteen books and numerous articles for journals, newspapers and magazines. He is a partner in a consulting firm focused on government and business applications of his game theory models. He lives in San Francisco and New York City.

Game theory was formulated by John Nash, the Nobel Prize--winner who became the subject of the film A Beautiful Mind. Bueno de Mesquita has built on and developed Nash's ideas to create a rigorous and pragmatic system of calculation that enables us to think strategically about what our opponents want, how much they want it, and how they might react to our every move.

But, as Bueno de Mesquita makes clear, game theory isn't just for saving the world. It can also help in your own life - to succeed in a legal dispute, to advance your career or that of a colleague, and even to buy a car at the lowest possible price.

His latest book, Predictioneer is a dazzling, provocative and utterly engrossing account of how one man is able to predict world events. It will change your understanding of the world - both now and in the future.

'Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has demonstrated the power of using game theory and related assumptions of rational and self-seeking behaviour in predicting the outcome of important political and legal processes. No one will fail to appreciate and learn from this well-written and always interesting account of his procedures.'
- Kenneth Arrow, Nobel Prize-winning economist; Professor Emeritus, Stanford University

'Predictioneer teaches us that we can predict how a conflict may be resolved if we carefully consider the incentives for all parties in the conflict. In an extraordinary range of applications, from ancient history to tomorrow's headlines, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita demonstrates the power of the game-theoretic approach.'
- Roger B. Myerson, Nobel Prize-winning economist; Professor, University of Chicago